Poll shows declining Dem, rising GOP midterm motivation

Data: Pew Research Center; Chart: Kavya Beheraj/Axios

Republican voters are signaling how they’re thinking about the 2022 midterms, with a recent Pew Research survey showing they’re much more motivated this cycle by which party controls Congress after November.

Why it matters: It’s a significant shift from the 2018 elections, when there was only a narrow gap between the two parties on the same question.

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Between the lines: The overall share of voters saying which party controls Congress “really matters” to them is similar this cycle (63%) to the last midterm cycle (65%).

  • But of that group, 70% of Republicans agree party control on the Hill is an important factor to them, compared to just 60% of Democrats.

  • That’s down from 67% of Democratic voters who said the same in 2018.

  • Independent voters are slightly more likely than Democrat ones to care about this (63%) —comparable to the last cycle.

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